Nate Silver 2024 Election Forecast. Our prediction model shows the chances kamala harris and donald trump have of winning the contest to be america's next president Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that harris with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to trump’s.
Presidential election edging closer, all eyes are seriously focused on candidates kamala. Nate frames his differences with the fivethirtyeight forecast of 2024 as a disagreement of how much to trust the fundamentals, and that’s part of it.